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Old 01-18-2013, 07:50 AM   #1
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NFL Walterfootball.com Mock

Very good mock site...

Kansas City Chiefs: Geno Smith, QB, West Virginia
I wrote earlier that this pick largely depended on what would happen with Scott Pioli. If Pioli were retained, he'd draft Star Lotulelei or Luke Joeckel and then use his second-round pick on Mike Glennon, whom he likes. If Pioli were fired, however, as the awesome @saveourchiefs movement was pushing for, the new general manager would almost have to take a franchise quarterback.

Well, it was the latter situation that occurred. Andy Reid was hired, while Pioli was axed. New regimes mean new quarterbacks, but whether that means Reid will spend this selection on a quarterback or sign his aging, scrambling signal-caller from Philadelphia remains to be seen. But if history is any indication, Reid will use this pick on Geno Smith.

Reid eschewed all the top free-agent quarterbacks when he took over as the Eagles' head coach, taking a mobile, Big East product with a good deep ball and upside instead. Well, Smith is a mobile, (former) Big East product with a good deep ball and upside. He fits perfectly into Reid's offense.

ESPN and other outlets will tell you that Smith nor any other signal-caller is worth taking No. 1 overall, but that could easily change. Remember two years ago when ESPN was mocking Da'Quan Bowers and Nick Fairley to the Panthers? Well, Cam Newton ballooned to the top, as will some other quarterback this year. It could be Smith, Tyler Wilson, Matt Barkley or Glennon. We'll see. Four months is a long time. If this doesn't happen, the Chiefs could always trade down.

By the way, I'm doing this live because I thought it'd be fun to get instant feedback. I'm going to post my mock anyway, so why not do it this way? Follow @walterfootball for updates.

Jacksonville Jaguars: Jarvis Jones, DE/OLB, Georgia
Chris Mortensen previously reported that Tim Tebow would be a Jaguar next year. Well, new general manager David Caldwell shot that down, telling the media he couldn't imagine Tebow being on his roster. Caldwell went on to say that he still thinks Blaine Gabbert deserves a chance to prove himself. Yeah, the future looks very bright in Jacksonville.

I'd love to give the Jaguars a quarterback here, but there are none available. Maybe Caldwell will reach because he sounds crazy enough to do that, but he can get a signal-caller atop Round 2. Instead, he might draft the best pass-rusher in the 2013 NFL Draft.

Jarvis Jones would be a huge boost to a defense that has missed strongside linebacker Daryl Smith all year. Smith is a free agent, so if he's not re-signed, Jones would be a worthy replacement. He would function as Von Miller does in Denver, rushing the quarterback in obvious passing situations. Damontre Moore is also a possibility.

Oakland Raiders: Star Lotulelei, NT, Utah
Is there any doubt the Raiders need help at defensive tackle in the wake of Doug Martin's near-record performance?

Richard Seymour's contract will be voided at the end of the season. Meanwhile, Tommy Kelly is a bum who doesn't care about winning, as evidenced when he laughed after prolonging a San Diego drive with a pair of offside penalties. He's a thug who has played so sluggishly this year in the rare instances when he wasn't trying to injure the opposing quarterback, so there's no chance he's going to see a penny of his $6.5 million salary in 2013. He's as good as gone, and 15-year-old head coach Dennis Allen lost all respect in the locker room for not cutting him after the opener.

Star Lotulelei has been going No. 1 overall in some mocks, so he makes sense here as possibly the top player available who fills a huge need. I can't see him falling out of the top three.

Philadelphia Eagles: Luke Joeckel, OT, Texas A&M
There's no question the Eagles have to upgrade their offensive line. Their tackle position is in shambles. Jason Peters tore his Achilles; Demetress Bell has been a bust signing; while King Dunlap simply sucks. Even if Peters comes back close to 100 percent, an upgrade could be made at right tackle, which would allow Todd Herremans to move back to his natural guard position.

Luke Joeckel had a slow start to his 2012 campaign, but he improved tremendously in the second half of the season, even stifling the LSU pass-rushers. He could easily go in the top four, right after a quarterback and some order of Jarvis Jones and Star Lotulelei. It wouldn't even surprise me to see him go No. 1 overall if Andy Reid signs or trades for a veteran quarterback.



Detroit Lions: Damontre Moore, DE/OLB, Texas A&M
The Lions' draft strategy is to pick the top player on their board. It just so happens that the best prospect available happens to fill a huge need.

Kyle Vanden Bosch likely won't be back with the team next season because of his $5 million salary, while the other exterior pass-rushers, excluding Cliff Avril, have barely done anything this year.

Damontre Moore said earlier that he planned on returning to school, but he officially changed his mind recently after learning that he was close to being a top-five lock with a shot at going as high as No. 2 to Jacksonville.

Cleveland Browns: Bjoern Werner, DE/OLB, Florida State
The Browns have to find a franchise quarterback to compete for the AFC North. There are none worth taking here, however, but that's OK because they need to improve their pass rush as well. Jabaal Sheard led the team in sacks with only seven. Juqua Parker-Thomas was next with six, and he'll be a 35-year-old free agent this offseason.

In the wake of Manti Te'o's horrific performance in the national championship, Bjoern Werner now has to be considered the best player available at this juncture. He can fit both the 4-3 and 3-4, so he makes sense for whichever scheme Rob Chudzinski plans to run.

Arizona Cardinals: Barkevious Mingo, DE/OLB, LSU
Arizona has proven that it'll draft the top player on its board as long as that prospect makes sense. Taylor Lewan is going back to school, unfortunately, so the Cardinals can't address one of their two biggest needs (quarterback) at this juncture.

Barkevious Mingo would bolster an inconsistent pass rush and displace the injury-prone O'Brien Schofield. I opted to go with Mingo over Dion Jordan because the latter tore his labrum.

Buffalo Bills: Mike Glennon, QB, N.C. State
This is a reach - I had Mike Glennon in the second round a couple of updates ago - but we've seen second-day talents like Blaine Gabbert and Christian Ponder go in the top 12. Teams are so desperate for quarterbacks that they'll make moves like this.

General manager Buddy Nix, who is generally forthcoming about his offseason plans, told the media that he plans on drafting a franchise quarterback. He even said he'll trade up for one in the 2013 NFL Draft. He may have been talking about Geno Smith if the Chiefs pass on him, but he won't have to move anywhere for Glennon.

It's still early, but I believe Glennon and Tyler Wilson are the two favorites for this selection. Nix will talk himself into taking one of them. Glennon is getting the most hype right now, with Mel Kiper even saying that he could be the first quarterback off the board. I liked this pick more when Chan Gailey was still the coach, as Glennon fit perfectly into his offense.

Of course, new head coach Doug Marrone may want Ryan Nassib, but it's not uncommon for a college coach to pass on his former players. For instance, we saw this in Seattle when Pete Carroll eschewed picking Taylor Mays in favor of the superior Earl Thomas.



New York Jets: Ezekiel Ansah, DE/OLB, BYU
OK, I think we can all agree that this draft class is very weak at the top. That's why I think this selection is a strong possibility. It may seem bizarre now, but Ezekiel Ansah could absolutely be projected this high after he blows up the Combine, as expected. Ansah has all of the potential in the world, so because this draft class is unbelievably bad, a team in the 6-12 range could take a chance on him. It worked for the Giants when they took Jason Pierre-Paul.

Ansah makes a ton of sense from a needs standpoint. The Jets' inability to get to the quarterback needs to be fixed. Aaron Maybin was cut during the season, while Calvin Pace has struggled for the most part.

Pick change; previously Dion Jordan, DE/OLB

Tennessee Titans: DeMarcus Milliner, CB, Alabama
The Titans were interested in drafting a highly ranked cornerback at No. 20 back in April, but neither Stephon Gilmore nor Dre Kirkpatrick fell to them. Maybe they'll have more luck in the 2013 NFL Draft, as they do in this situation with one of the top players available filling a big need. Alterraun Verner will be entering his contract year in 2013, so Tennessee will need a new starter if it can't retain him. Besides, the Titans need to fix their 24th-ranked pass defense.

San Diego Chargers: Johnathan Hankins, NT, Ohio State
Johnathan Hankins is way too good to pass up here. Plus, it's not like the Chargers can't stand to find help on the defensive line. Nose tackle Aubrayo Franklin, who isn't very good to begin with, will be a free agent in March. Eric Fisher is a strong possibility at this spot, but Hankins is the much better prospect.

Miami Dolphins: Cordarrelle Patterson, WR, Tennessee
I've had the Dolphins taking Eric Fisher at this spot for the previous several updates, but let's assume that the front office will find a way to retain Jake Long. What will Miami do in that case?

Well, this is thinking along the same lines as the Jets' selection. This draft class stinks at the top, so teams might be willing to take more chances. Cordarrelle Patterson is the most physically gifted receiver in this class, and it's not even close. He's just incredibly raw, but so Ryan Tannehill coming out of Texas A&M. The Dolphins have to love the potential they'll have with Tannehill and Patterson working in tandem.

Pick change; previously Eric Fisher, OT



Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Johnthan Banks, CB, Mississippi State
The Buccaneers decided they didn't like Morris Claiborne very much, so they traded out of the No. 5 spot in the 2012 NFL Draft and selected Mark Barron two picks later. They really need cornerback help, especially in the wake of the Aqib Talib trade, so they'll almost have to remedy that need at this juncture. Maybe another SEC defensive back will be the answer.

Carolina Panthers: Sheldon Richardson, DT, Missouri
I was told by a reliable source not to mock Fletcher Cox to the Panthers because they were satisfied with their current group of defensive tackles. Based on the rushing yardage they recently surrendered to Bryce Brown and Jamaal Charles, I highly doubt they'll feel the same way in April. Besides, Sheldon Richardson is one of the best players available.

New Orleans Saints: Eric Fisher, OT, Central Michigan
The Saints obviously need tons of help on defense, but they also have to find a left tackle for Drew Brees, who didn't have much time in the pocket this past season. General manager Mickey Loomis recently discussed the challenge of re-signing Jermon Bushrod, so it sounds like he'll be moving in a different direction at the position. Eric Fisher makes tons of sense as perhaps the top prospect available.

Pick change; previously Ezekiel Ansah, DE

St. Louis Rams: Chance Warmack, G, Alabama
Guards seldom have a chance to go in the top 15, but Chance Warmack has a shot because he's a special talent. Besides, he's the top prospect available who makes sense for St. Louis.

The Rams desperately need to upgrade their offensive front. Jeff Fisher played against the Texans twice per year when he was with Tennessee, and he watched Houston completely ruin David Carr's career by not building a competent offensive line around him. He won't want to make the same mistake with Sam Bradford.

Pittsburgh Steelers: Manti Te'o, ILB, Notre Dame
I think this is a good spot for Manti Te'o. He was brutal in the national championship, but that shouldn't erase all of his other great tape. He's still the favorite to be the first inside linebacker off the board, and the 16-25 range seems right for him. Besides, this is the type of move the Steelers normally make. They often are able to snag talented prospects who fall to them later in the first round for whatever reason.

The Steelers have shown interest in first-round inside linebackers. They wanted Dont'a Hightower last April, but David DeCastro was just too good to pass up at No. 24 overall. Pittsburgh still has to find an inside linebacker because Larry Foote was awful this year. He finished near the top of dubious rankings like missed tackles and touchdowns allowed by players at his position.

Follow @walterfootball for updates.

Dallas Cowboys: Sam Montgomery, DE, LSU
The Cowboys hired Monte Kiffin and are moving to a 4-3 defense. Anthony Spencer said he would love to play the defensive end position across from DeMarcus Ware, but that's probably not going to happen because Dallas doesn't have the cap space to re-sign him. If Spencer does leave, Dallas may use this selection to find a new complement for Ware. Sam Montgomery makes a ton of sense at this spot.

Pick change; previously Johnathan Jenkins, NT

New York Giants: Dion Jordan, DE/OLB, Oregon
Giant fans know that general manager Jerry Reese loves drafting pass-rushers. With Osi Umenyiora entering free agency this March and Justin Tuck having a down year, Reese may select a defensive end at the end of the first round.

Dion Jordan would be a top-10 selection this April, but he suffered a torn labrum. I feel like the Giants' front office is smart enough to end his slide.

Pick change; previously Alex Okafor, DE/OLB

Chicago Bears: Alec Ogletree, ILB, Georgia
It's sad to see the Brian Urlacher era come to an end. Urlacher will be a free agent in March, but he was playing poorly anyway. The Bears will have to find a replacement this offseason - perhaps in the first round of the 2013 NFL Draft. They'll probably be interested in Alec Ogletree, who has been tremendous for Georgia this season. Ogletree is arguably the top prospect available.



Cincinnati Bengals: Kenny Vaccaro, S, Texas
The Bengals had a big need at safety, but they didn't address the position until the fifth round this past April. They'll put more effort into finding an upgrade the following offseason because they won't survive with Reggie Nelson and the benched Taylor Mays (or cornerback Nate Clements, an impending free agent who was playing out of position) as their starters.

Pick change; previously Sam Montgomery, DE

St. Louis Rams: Keenan Allen, WR, California
I don't think the Rams will necessarily be targeting a receiver in the first round because they're still developing Brian Quick, but they will absolutely consider Keenan Allen if he's available at No. 22 because he's arguably the top player available. It's pretty obvious that Jeff Fisher needs to find receiving help for Sam Bradford.

Pick change; previously Kenny Vaccaro, S

Minnesota Vikings: Johnathan Jenkins, NT, Georgia
The Vikings can address one of their biggest needs with arguably the best player available. Defensive tackle is a big issue right now; Kevin Williams will turn 33 in August, and there's no one of note playing next to him. Letroy Guion is a decent rotational guy but should not be a starter.

Pick change; previously Keenan Allen, WR

Indianapolis Colts: Jonathan Cooper, G/C, North Carolina
If you've watched the Colts at all in the final couple of weeks to close out the season, you know that their offensive line must be upgraded because Andrew Luck constantly had defenders in his face. The weakest of Luck's blockers is right guard Mike McGlynn, who was guilty of four sacks in the final four games.

Jonathan Cooper, who can play all three interior positions, would be a massive upgrade over anyone Indianapolis has at guard or center.



Seattle Seahawks: Terrance Williams, WR, Baylor
The Seahawks' receiving corps really needs to be upgraded. Sidney Rice is constantly laboring through injuries and has struggled to get any sort of separation for most of the season. Golden Tate, meanwhile, is way too inconsistent, though he's been better lately. Russell Wilson keeps improving every week, so Pete Carroll needs to bolster his wideout corps.

This is a bit high for Terrance Williams, but the Seahawks don't fear taking anyone who is deemed a reach. Pete Carroll will likely fall in love with Williams' size and straight-line speed.

Green Bay Packers: Tyler Eifert, TE, Notre Dame
Jermichael Finley will be due close to $8 million in 2013, and Packer fans should be happy about that because Finley is one of the most overrated players in the NFL. He's terribly inconsistent and doesn't appear as though he'll ever live up to expectations.

Houston Texans: Kevin Minter, ILB, LSU
There's a ton of uncertainty at inside linebacker for Houston. Brian Cushing is coming off a torn ACL, Bradie James is an impending free agent who isn't very good, while neither Tim Dobbins nor Darryl Sharpton is worthy of starting.

Denver Broncos: Bennie Logan, DT, LSU
The Broncos spent a second-rounder this past April on Derek Wolfe, but he's playing defensive end and moving inside on nickel situations. That's why Denver still needs a ton of help at defensive tackle. Justin Bannan and Kevin Vickerson, the starters there this past season, will be free agents this March.



Baltimore Ravens: Matt Elam, S, Florida
Jason La Canfora recently reported that some of Ed Reed's teammates believe that he won't be back with the Ravens next year. Reed's an impending free agent, so he may move on with Ray Lewis also leaving. If that happens, Baltimore will obviously be looking for a new safety this offseason.

Pick change; previously Cordarrelle Patterson, WR

San Francisco 49ers: Alex Okafor, DE/OLB, Texas
The 49ers have a fantastic defense, but they have a serious lack of depth at rush linebacker. With so few needs, they can afford to take the best player available to address that problem.

Pick change; previously Matt Elam, S

New England Patriots: Tavon Austin, WR, West Virginia
It's amazing that New England's offense has been this incredible considering that Deion Branch was playing two-thirds of the snaps every game prior to being released. Imagine how explosive the Patriots would be if they added a legitimate threat opposite Brandon Lloyd. They also have to think about a possible future without Wes Welker, who will be a free agent this offseason. New England has shown that it doesn't value Welker as much, so another team could offer him way more money.

Atlanta Falcons: Kawann Short, DT, Purdue
The Falcons have multiple problems they have to address on their defensive line - a unit that struggles to both generate pressure and stop the run. One issue is at defensive tackle next to Jonathan Babineaux. Former first-rounder Peria Jerry hasn't been able to stay healthy, while Corey Peters wasn't any good either.

http://walterfootball.com/draft2013.php
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Old 01-18-2013, 08:24 AM   #2
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Of course Te'o would fall into the Steelers lap. They always have a cycle of amazing linebackers.

As for the Giants, I see everybody mocking them a DE. I know Jerry Reese loves having multiple DE's and I know Osi is leaving but there are so many more positions that need to be filled first. I just wish we'd take a great LB or O-lineman or something needed instead of stocking up on more D-Lineman
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Old 01-18-2013, 10:04 AM   #3
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I think Lombardi reaches and take Ta'o in the 6 spot.
He's a moron..hell he may even draft JaMarcus again this year...
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Old 01-18-2013, 10:48 AM   #4
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Heard yesterday many believe Te'o could fall a full round. That would make him a mid 2nd rounder.
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Old 01-18-2013, 11:49 AM   #5
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I can usually get on board with Walt's picks, but I don't see Geno going #1 Starting to think that if Buffalo doesn't scoop him up, he may fall out of the first all together. Geno's in a fortunate spot of being the best of a bad bunch, so some team will ridiculously over-value him, but he's not worthy of a first round selection IMO.
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Old 01-18-2013, 12:46 PM   #6
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Mike View Post
I can usually get on board with Walt's picks, but I don't see Geno going #1 Starting to think that if Buffalo doesn't scoop him up, he may fall out of the first all together. Geno's in a fortunate spot of being the best of a bad bunch, so some team will ridiculously over-value him, but he's not worthy of a first round selection IMO.
Agreed. I think I've said this before... but I honestly don't know why people have him ranked so high.
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